Counterfactual decision desk

Make the call.Before reality does.

Vittain turns a live situation into choices you can test. Then it shows you what changes, what holds, and what to do next.

See how it works

Private beta for teams making consequential decisions.

PLAY IT
FORWARD

THE QUESTION

What would have to be true for this to work?

The decision view

See the recommendation and the argument underneath it.

The call, the counterargument, and the honest range stay together.

Earn-out memoRUN 04 · SIGNED

PERSPECTIVE · BUYERPOSTURE · HOLD

THE CALL

Hold. Let the earnout prove out before the second close.

The synergy case leans on a retention number that is not in the tape. Pay for what has already happened; option the rest.

UNLESS

The key seller walks, or Q3 bookings miss by more than a fifth.

WHAT MOVED

The second close is no longer a date. It is a gate: retention above 86% and bookings inside the band. Everything else in the memo is scenery.

P10P50P90

RANGE, NOT A POINT

From question to call

Serious analysis. A surprisingly simple flow.

Frame →

Bring the situation, not a template

Drop in a deal memo, a policy, a transcript, or a plan. Vittain surfaces the assumptions and forces that could move the outcome.

Explore →

Change one thing. Follow what moves.

Test the choices that are still open. Vittain plays the situation forward and shows where a change appears to matter.

Decide

Leave with a call you can defend

Get a recommendation, the honest range around it, and the assumption most likely to break the argument.

Inside the desk

One place to frame the evidence, rehearse the choice, and keep the record.

Evidence

Start with the material you already have.

Paste text or add PDFs, documents, images, links, and recordings. Vittain reads the sources together and frames a situation you can explore.

TEXT
DOCUMENTS
IMAGES
LINKS
RECORDINGS

Rehearsal

Match the room to the decision.

Run a Scenario, work backward in a Pre-mortem, or stage Sparring around the call.

SCENARIO
PRE-MORTEM
SPARRING

Record

Carry the reasoning forward.

Save the call and rationale, share a run, or export a dossier that keeps the situation, simulations, and decision together.

DECISION
SHARE
DOSSIER

Across contexts

Bring decisions from financial services, technology, healthcare, energy, or public policy. Vittain keeps the situation’s own evidence and uncertainty at the center.

Operating principles

Built for the messy middle.

Vittain is for the gap where the old model no longer holds and the new one cannot be fitted yet. It is built for teams that still have to act there.

Decision-first

The output is a call and what would change it, not another dashboard to interpret.

Adversarial by design

Important arguments can meet a strong counterargument before they reach you.

Honest about uncertainty

Vittain keeps the range visible when a point estimate would overstate the evidence.

Private beta

Bring us the decision that keeps coming back.

Vittain is in use with a small number of teams. Tell us what you would play out, and we’ll be in touch.